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As we move towards 2024 year, the US Presidential Elections and the Trump 2024 campaign have become almost the most important topics on the agenda for world politics and economy. In addition, the question of can Trump win the 2024 elections if he is nominated as the candidate of the republicans have started to be asked more and more frequently. So, this is a really important question. We all know that this country constitutes the majority of the world economy and that this country directs world politics. In this context, it becomes very important which political view and president will govern this country.
As we approach the end of 2024 and the presidential elections, it is widely discussed whether Biden will withdraw from the presidential race due to his illness. Another topic on the agenda is the assassination attempt against Trump.
At this point, it is possible to list the issues on the American political agenda as follows:
- Trump’s Hush Money conviction.
- How he was acquitted in the case of removal of secret files,
- Judicial chaos following the Presidential immunity decision,
- The assassination attempt on Trump and the fact that the assassin was an ordinary 20-year-old young man,
- Democrats’ expectation that Biden will withdraw from the race,
- Biden’s Covid issue and then Obama’s call for him to step aside.
- Donald’s lead by at least 5 points in the latest polls.
While all these agendas continue, it is certain that the Republican candidate will be the 45th US President Donald Trump. At this point, it is time to look for and analyze the answer to our question in the title.
Next President of US!
Naturally, there will be a big difference between the victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump who is known as an extraordinary politician with more hawkish and harsh rhetoric and the victory of Democratic candidate Joe Biden, who is known as a relatively moderate leader.
In this context, it is very important for our young reader friends who do not follow the world agenda very much and for our middle-aged friends who work, to be informed about the latest developments on this issue which will deeply affect the global economic trend. At this stage, as the writer team, we will try to provide you with the most accurate information and analysis about the 2024 American Presidential Elections as the time approaches and new developments occur.
Trump Candidate again
Before answering the question of can Trump win the 2024 US presidential election, it would be more logical to clarify whether Donald Trump can be a candidate 😊
If we look at the ongoing accusations against him;
- January 6th, 2021 US Congress storm events, (This event caused 5 casualties)
- Investigation about findings of confidential documents belonging to the state in his private residence, (acquitted)
- Ongoing tax evasion and potential fraud investigations related to his family business.
Donald Trump has been acquitted in the hearings and lawsuits held so far regarding these investigations and allegations and continues on his presidential nomination way. So, if the course of cases continues as it has so far, Trump could enter the 2024 American Presidential election as the Republican nominee. However, even among the republicans, there is a section that is disturbed by Trump’s extreme rhetoric, his perspective on underrpresented groups in his country, his attitudes that make fun of global warming, and his stance on foreign policy issues such as North Korea and China. At this point, the second possible candidate of the republicans in the 2024 US Presidential Elections is Nikki Haley.
Nikki Haley comes to the fore as the second person most likely to be the Republican presidential candidate in the 2024 US Presidential Elections, if the possibility of punishment arises as a result of the investigations opened against Trump, or if the anti-Trump opponents among the Republicans become stronger, although it seems unlikely at the moment. On the other hand, Trump beat her strongly in the Republican Part Primaries.
5 November Can Trump Win?
The answer to this question could be given clearly as “yes, he can”. To be remembered, Donald Trump, who served as the American President between 2017-2021 was seen as the person who would win the election very strongly as the 2020 November elections were approaching, and the polls also supported this claim. However, with the Covid-19 pandemic, which started to increase in February 2020, and Trump’s delay in taking this pandemic seriously, the fact that the Covid-19 vaccine was still not found when it came to the presidential elections caused Trump to lose the 2020 presidential election. Again, it should be remembered that the announcement that the Covid vaccine was developed by BioNTech was made right after the Trump’s loss of presidential elections and Donald Trump accused BioNTech that this information was given deliberately late.
In this context, Donald Trump, who won the support of the American People in both economic and social conditions during the 2020 elections, will be 78 years old in the 2024 campaign, and if nominated by the republican party, he will emerge as a strong candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Elections.
Election 2024 Trump vs Biden?
Before answering this question of can Trump win 2024 elections, it should be noted that neither the Republicans nor the Democrats have chosen their candidates yet.
However, it is a fact that both sides have two potential candidates.
Namely;
• At the Blue (Democrat) corner 😊
1- There is Joe Biden, who will be 82 years old in 2024 and although he has announced his candidacy for the 2024 US Presidential Elections, it does not seem likely that he will be suitable for this duty in terms of health.
2- Kamala Harris, as the current vice president, if Joe Biden cannot run due to health reasons, he will be the possible presidential candidate of the democrats. As the end of 2024 approaches, the possibility of Biden withdrawing from the race due to his illness becomes stronger with each passing day. Halley will be the Democratic candidate in case he withdraws. In this case, the chance of winning the election against such a strong former presidential candidate is low.
• At the Red (Republican) corner,
1- Donald Trump has already launched the Trump 2024 Presidential campaign on November 15, 2022 and announced that he is a candidate in the 2024 American Presidential Elections. Accordingly, if his candidacy is finalized, his chances of winning seem strong.
2- Nikki Haley is the old Governor of South Caroline and is a politician whose popularity is increasing among republicans. Still, She is currently no more popular than Trump, and is the second popular candidate for the republicans only if a decision is made about Trump that would prevent him from being a political candidate. It is obivous that her candidacy probability is near zero now.
Can Trump Win ? Yes!
At this very point, according to the Marquette Law School survey conducted in the USA, which sheds light on the question of can Trump win the 2024 American Presidential Elections, the “Republicans” will get the election to be held in 2024, regardless of their candidate. In the survey, 53 percent of the respondents stated that they would support Trump, 47 percent would support Biden, and if the republican candidate is nominated as DeSantis, 52 percent would support DeSantis and 48 percent would support Biden. Considering the economic and social activities and age of Joe Biden, which were the subject of criticism during his tenure, in the light of the surveys, the possibility of the success of the Trump 2024 campaign and the possibility of Donald Trump being re-elected as the American President in 2024 come to the fore as a possibility.
When 2024 Election held?
Finally, we would like to answer this confusing question.
Presidential elections in the United States are held every four years on the Tuesday following the first Monday in November. In this context, the American Presidential Elections, which will be held for the 60th time in history, will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.
The new President of the USA, who wins this election, will take office on January 20, 2025, as required by law.
